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FAAB Overview: Week 19 – Baseball ProspectusBaseball Prospectus

Picture credit score: © Eric Canha-USA TODAY Sports activities

Welcome again to the FAAB Overview, the column that evaluations the goings on in a number of analyst leagues within the hopes we may help you with your personal FAAB bidding course of and habits. This column will principally deal with The Nice Fantasy Baseball Invitational (TGFBI), a contest that incorporates 31 leagues of 15 groups every and crowns an general champion on the finish of the common season. We’ll have a look at the ten hottest FAAB buys in these leagues each week. We’ll additionally deal with some highlights in Tout Wars AL and LABR NL, two deeper trade leagues.

TGBFI and Tout Wars use a $1,000 FAAB finances, whereas LABR makes use of $100. Tout Wars additionally permits groups to position $0 bids. All three leagues run their FAAB weekly on Sundays.

Chase Silseth $22
(Max Successful Bid: $75. Min Successful Bid: $1)
Silseth is a kind of pitchers who looks like a sleeper, however he was Baseball Prospectus’ fourth ranked prospect within the Angels system heading into this yr. The scouting knock on him was that regardless of stable fastball velocity the pitch performed poorly due to lackluster motion and command. This yr, Silseth has compensated for that by relying closely on his slider, and he’s getting wonderful outcomes. The strikeouts (26 in his final three begins, together with two 10+ strikeout performances) are what pop and make him price including in deeper leagues. He’s a borderline choice in customary blended this week with a tricky matchup in Houston.

Davis Schneider $19 ($66, $1)
As a former 28th spherical choose within the 2017 draft, Schneider is about as under-the-radar as you may get. Regardless of a excessive strikeout charge and common instruments at greatest, all he has finished within the minors is sock the ball and 2023 was his greatest minor league season but. The Davis Schneider Expertise has continued within the majors, as he has two residence runs and is 9-for-13 in his first three large league video games. We all know it gained’t final, nevertheless it’s enjoyable to take these rides typically (and it’s completely doable he’s a starter the remainder of the best way for the Blue Jays).

Curtis Mead $17 ($47, $5)
Mead obtained off to a gradual begin at AAA, missed almost two months because of a hand/wrist damage, after which got here charging off the IL like he had one thing to show, slashing .333/.433/.505. The Roto stats weren’t there even after the damage stint (one residence run and two steals in 127 PA) and this and the Rays penchant for job shares may tamp down Mead’s fantasy worth. I’d wager on the expertise however until you’re in an OBP league mood your expectations, particularly in redraft.

Carlos Hernandez $13 ($43, $1)
With the commerce of Scott Barlow to the Padres, Hernandez might be the Royals new nearer (Austin Cox did choose up a save final week). Hernandez struggled mightily with command in his earlier life as a starter however appears to have solved for that within the pen and is now averaging near 100 miles-per-hour on his heater whereas principally abandoning his curve in favor of a slider he’s throwing within the excessive 80s. The dangerous crew/fewer save alternatives warning applies, however my guess is Hernandez will get a lot of the save probabilities for Kansas Metropolis if he’s efficient.

Jake Bauers $13 ($57, $1)
Previous to this season, Bauers was a borderline main leaguer whose major ability was batting eye. Bauers has bought out for energy and is socking residence runs, notably within the second half because the stroll charge has began dropping. It helps that he’s taking part in principally in opposition to righties, nevertheless it additionally isn’t only a Yankee Stadium factor, as he has 5 of his 11 homers on the highway. Bauers is a matchup play when the Yankees have quite a lot of righties on the slate, and so they get 5 of them this week in a six-game schedule.

Hyun Jin Ryu $13 ($41, $1)
Ryu was an extremely underrated fantasy starter from 2018-2020 earlier than accidents minimize him down. He’s again with the Blue Jays and was underwhelming in his first begin. The issue with making an attempt to investigate Ryu is that he was by no means a excessive velocity arm so you’ll be able to’t merely level to diminished velocity and say the stuff is not there. He will get a two begin week in Cleveland and in opposition to the Cubs and you must sit him until you’re determined for wins.

Cole Ragans $10 ($35, $1)
Ragans was a prime prospect for the Rangers manner again in 2019 nevertheless it by no means materialized for him inside their group. He’s now with the Royals and was languishing within the bullpen earlier than Kansas Metropolis pushed him into the rotation. In two begins, Ragans seemed stable in opposition to the Rays and nice in opposition to the tanking Mets. He has maintained his velocity as a starter, however the factor that jumped out in his begin in opposition to the Mets was utilization of a slider that made it tough for New York to make contact. On paper Ragans is a sit nearly in all places, however in case you want Okay’s, it’s price playing on the potential in case you’re making a playoff push.

Luis Medina $8 ($21, $1)
Medina is a repeater from final week’s FAAB column, as extra fantasy squads have taken discover of his current run of sturdy performances. He stumbled considerably yesterday in opposition to the Giants because of shaky command however remains to be price contemplating for a stable matchup this week in Washington.

Brice Turang $8 ($21, $1)
Should you checked out his season stats, you’d ignore what has been a disappointing participant. Should you’re in deep leagues and scouring the wire for any morsel you may get, you’ve absolutely observed that in his final 62 PA Turang has a .314/.419/.451 slash line with two residence runs and three steals. That is small pattern measurement evaluation folly, however it is usually the form of factor we have to cling to after we’re on the lookout for hope. The hope in case you seize Turang is that he retains stealing bases and that the common is suitable.

Zack Littell $7 ($17, $1)
Littell is a little bit completely different than your ordinary reclamation Rays pitching story in that he had some success within the majors as a reliever. Reasonably than taking a minor leaguer and reinventing him the Rays merely have leveraged Littell’s stuff that labored within the pen in a beginning position. He’s stretched out now so must be in line for some wins in opposition to weaker opponents if nothing else. He has a house begin in opposition to the rebuilding Cardinals this week.

Tout AL
Justin Verlander $768
(Different Bids: $442, $392, $380, $275, $254, $155, $0)
Jack Flaherty $442 ($240, $93, $1)
Randall Grichuk $392 ($285, $197, $158, $155, $71, $61, $16, $0, $0)
C.J. Cron $285 ($276, $267, $158, $155, $139, $19, $0)
Paul DeJong $158 ($121, $60, $31, $9, $1, $0)
Luis Urias $135 ($121, $47, $16, $9, $1)
Davis Schneider $111 ($33, $10, $0)
Cole Ragans $81 ($44, $9)
Dominic Canzone $59 ($14, $13, $9, $0)
Chase Silseth $53 ($30)
Josh Rojas $49 ($49, $11, $0)
Beau Brieske $41 ($10)
Jesse Scholtens $23
Pablo Reyes $10
Jason Foley $9
Xzavion Curry $5
Chad Wallach $2
Trayce Thompson $2
Austin Cox $1
Aaron Bummer $1
Kole Calhoun $0
Justin Topa $0
Tommy Kahnle $0
Jay Jackson $0
Chris Stratton $0

Ready for an enormous prize paid within the AL when Verlander was not too surprisingly traded by the Mets. The chance in ready for him was that the Dodgers might need jumped into the fray, however they didn’t (or maybe Verlander leveraged his no commerce clause to push for a commerce to Houston because of familiarity) and AL groups ready for an ace jumped for pleasure.

The opposite NL imports weren’t dangerous however include query marks. Cron and Grichuk transfer out of Colorado and take an apparent worth hit as a result of lack of Coors whereas Flaherty is a wild card regardless of his nice Orioles debut. DeJong and Urias each have some worth if they’re taking part in however Bo Bichette’s damage won’t be too severe and Urias may return to the minors as soon as Trevor Story is able to go later this week.

Josh Bell $33
(Different Bids: $24, $18, $16, $7, $2)
Paul Sewald $32 ($31, $26, $24, $19, $16, $7, $6)
Jake Burger $31 ($18, $16, $7, $2)
Michael Lorenzen $31 ($22, $18, $16, $12, $6, $4, $3, $2)
Brendan Rodgers $24 ($18, $16, $11, $2)
Johan Rojas $20 ($2)
Lyon Richardson $10
Jake Alu $7
($3, $1)
Alfonso Rivas $6 ($1)
Ryan Yarbrough $6 ($3)
Seranthony Dominguez $6 ($4)
Jace Peterson $4 ($3)
Alika Williams $1
Scott Barlow $1
Scott McGough $1

My major goal was Sewald and I obtained him by a hair, narrowly beating out Brian Walton of Artistic Sports activities by $1. Walton managed to take his remaining $62 and break up it into my second and third FAAB decisions, Burger and Lorenzen. On reflection, I ought to have put in $20-25 alternate bids on Lorenzen and Burger; it might have been pricey if Walton didn’t bid $31 on each and a kind of two went to one of many three groups forward of me within the standings.

Rodgers was dropped for a FAAB reclaim, which is why he was out there. This was one of many extra aggressive FAAB durations we’ve had all season lengthy, even with out the AL imports. Rojas may very well be an important pace play the remainder of the best way, whereas Alu and Rivas each may earn important taking part in time down the stretch.

Thanks for studying

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