Week 7 was a stable week, and the momentum carried into Week 8. With a 3-1 file final week bringing us to 7-2 over the past two weeks, the season has formed as much as be fairly profitable at 36-16 (69%). The purpose, after all, is to maintain that scorching streak alive.
Earlier than we dive into this week’s 4 greatest NFL picks, keep in mind that I additionally share my primetime sport picks solely on my Twitter (@BetWithMatt_), so you should definitely observe for extra thrilling betting alternatives.
Baltimore Ravens at Arizona Cardinals: Participant Props and Parlay
Let’s begin with a conflict between the Baltimore Ravens and the Arizona Cardinals. I’m going to keep away from the unfold on this one because it typically feels just like the Ravens underperform after important wins. Nevertheless, I’ve acquired two performs which may provide the confidence to guess on the Ravens.
In terms of Zay Flowers, it’s secure to say he’s been Lamar Jackson’s favourite goal in current weeks. With an over/underneath of 56.5 receiving yards, this line feels extremely low, particularly when Flowers has surpassed this mark in 4 out of seven video games this season. Dealing with a Cardinals protection ranked twenty fifth in receiving yards allowed (a mean of 259.5 yards per sport), Flowers ought to have the chance to use it for giant performs. Flowers additionally averages round 7.7 targets per sport and 5.6 receptions per sport, with 12.9 yards per catch. Combining receptions together with his yards per catch Zay needs to be on tempo to surpass that 56.5 quantity in opposition to a low rating defensive group for the Cardinals. I count on him to have some massive performs on this sport. Primary receivers eat in opposition to the Cardinals: Cooper Kupp had seven receptions for 145 yards, Ja’Marr Chase had 15 receptions for 192 yards and Brandon Aiyuk had six receptions for 148 yards when taking part in the Cardinals.
Zay Flowers Over 56.5 Receiving Yards (-115 on DraftKings)
Whereas the Ravens are more likely to win this sport, it’s unsure by how a lot. To safe a successful guess, I’ve designed a similar sport parlay for additional consolation. The primary leg is an alternate line with the Ravens at -2.5, giving us a cushion in case the Cardinals sneak in a backdoor cowl. For the second leg, I’ve gone with the underneath, although this will shock some, contemplating the Ravens’ current high-scoring efficiency. The underneath has truly hit in 16 of the final 21 Ravens video games on the highway, courting again to the start of 2019. The general public is leaning in direction of the over, however current stats and the matchup historical past favor the underneath. The over/underneath is ready at 44.5, however I’m shopping for it as much as 51.5 factors for added security.
Identical Recreation Parlay: Ravens -2.5 and Below 51.5 Complete Factors (-138 on Fanduel)
Subsequent up, let’s concentrate on D’Andre Swift of the Philadelphia Eagles. Dealing with the Washington Commanders, Swift’s line for receptions is ready at 3.5. Swift is fourth on the Eagles in targets this 12 months, boasting a goal charge of 13.2%. This excessive involvement showcases his significance to the passing assault, and the Commanders have allowed working backs to exceed this reception quantity 5 out of seven video games this season.
D’Andre Swift 3+ Receptions (-166 on Fanduel)
Broncos vs. Chiefs: Embracing the Divisional Below
Within the divisional matchup between the Denver Broncos and the Kansas Metropolis Chiefs, I’ve acquired a play that has confirmed profitable all through the NFL season. Divisional unders are likely to hit as a rule, particularly when groups face one another a second time. Simply two weeks in the past, the Broncos and Chiefs performed, with the ultimate rating at 19-8, reinforcing the potential for low-scoring video games in these matchups.
Right here’s the kicker: the over/underneath for this sport is ready at 47.5. What makes it much more intriguing is that the general public appears to be leaning in direction of the over. What lastly swayed me in direction of the underneath was the climate forecast, with a excessive of 29 levels, a low of 13, and the prospect of 6-14 inches of snow (as per Adam Schefter). With this line shifting all the way down to 45.5, you possibly can nonetheless confidently go together with the underneath, however in case you desire, you possibly can think about shopping for some factors to push it again as much as 47.5.
Broncos/Chiefs underneath 47.5 whole factors (-120 on Fanduel)
With these performs in thoughts, we’re equipped for an additional thrilling week of NFL motion, aiming to increase the new streak and safe worthwhile bets. Keep tuned for extra primetime sport picks on my Twitter, and let’s benefit from the journey via the NFL season.
